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Past the Sweet Spot

Oct 15, 2026 · 0:31

Dirk Hanlon: the average car is thirteen years old, and garages are booming. Gus: old cars are paid off cars, free driving! Dot: Father, cars six to fourteen years old are the industry's repair sweet spot; more than 110 million of them, 38% of the fleet, heading for 40% by 2028. The garage gains what the carmaker loses to delayed replacement. Gus: ours is seventeen, past the sweet spot! Dot: past it, they scrap you.

The thirteen-year-old American car fleet is splitting the car business in two: more than 110 million vehicles are in the six-to-fourteen-year 'sweet spot' where parts and repair spending concentrates, about 38% of the fleet and heading for 40% by 2028, so parts makers and garages gain what carmakers lose to delayed replacement, though cars too far past their prime get scrapped rather than fixed.

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unusual_whales post: The average car on the road in America is now nearly 13 years old, an all-time high, per Charlie Bilello. 30 years ago, it was 8.4 years, meaning today's cars are more than 50% older.

X · Oct 15, 2026

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