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Dad Reads Prediction Machines

Oct 2, 2026 · 0:35

Book report: Prediction Machines, by three economists. AI as cheap prediction, the arithmetic analogy, and the Amazon experiment, as misunderstood by Dad.

Prediction Machines, by three economists, argues that AI is best understood as a fall in the price of prediction, as computers were a fall in the price of arithmetic, and that cheap prediction changes business models, as its Amazon thought experiment shows.

On the book: Prediction Machines by Ajay Agrawal, Joshua Gans, Avi Goldfarb

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Prediction Machines

Harvard Business Review Press · Jan 1, 2018

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