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Rich By Then Anyway

Oct 14, 2026 · 0:32

Tommy: even the fast robot scenario takes till 2050. Dougie: perfect, I'll sell robots till then. Abe: Mayor, are robots cheaper than people yet? Mayor Dithers: yes. Abe: 0.3% of the work! Tommy learned something today: even if robot costs fall four times faster, half of today's physical work isn't cheaper until 2050. Dougie: I'll be rich by then anyway.

Robots are cheaper than people for just 0.3% of work today, and even in the Anthropic study's fast scenario, with costs falling four times faster than history, they would not be cheaper for half of today's physical work until 2050.

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unusual_whales post: Robots can already do about 3/4 of physical job tasks in the US, per Anthropic. But they're cheaper than a human for just 0.3% of them.

X · Oct 14, 2026

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